feat: banded admission for the per-subject embedding store

AR-018 — an embedding joins a track's store only if its similarity to something
already there falls inside a band, rather than merely being far from the gallery.

Above the upper bound it is redundant: another look at a pose the store already
covers, teaching the annex nothing while costing a slot a novel view could have
used. Below the lower bound it is suspect: within one track every face is the
same person by construction, so an embedding unlike everything else on the track
is evidence that construction failed — a track-ID collision or a bad detection.
Admitting it is exactly how an actor's annex gets poisoned with someone else's
face.

The old gate had only the upper half of that idea, expressed as a raw cosine
against the gallery. Both bounds are now calibrated probabilities (AR-024), so
the same number means the same thing here as in association and evidence
weighting rather than three different things.

This catches track-ID collisions EARLIER than the spread gate did — at the door
rather than at promotion — so the buffer never becomes two-person in the first
place. The spread gate stays as a second line for a track that drifts gradually
instead of jumping. The existing test was asserting the mechanism rather than
the outcome, so it was rewritten to assert what actually matters: whichever gate
fires, the outsider must not reach the annex.

Rejections are counted. A store that admits nothing is as broken as one that
admits everything, and neither is visible otherwise.

Band defaults 0.90-0.95 are working values pending VR-007; the two bounds fail in
opposite directions and must be swept separately.

Suite: 92 cases, 6133 assertions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

TRACES: AR-018, AR-024 | SR-005

docs/requirements.md

@@ -32,7 +32,7 @@ Status: `Done` · `In Progress` · `Planned` · `TBD` · `Withdrawn`
 | AR-002 | Minimum face size **32×32 px** (VR-005 measured), expressed in **original** resolution (decoupled from `dense_scale`) | SR-002 | High | Planned |
 | AR-003 | No fixed per-frame face cap — crowd scenes must not lose background cast | SR-002 | Medium | **Done** — `max_faces` defaults to 0 (no cap); the matcher batches through its GEMM buffer instead of throwing |
 | AR-004 | Backpressure: unbounded faces/frame absorbed by slowing, never by dropping or throwing | SR-002 | High | **Done** — KPN node outputs use `push_blocking`; sentinels stay out-of-band. Verified: 385/385 frames, 0 drops, byte-identical across runs |
-| AR-005 | Align to 112×112 via ArcFace 5-point similarity transform | SR-002 | High | Done |
+| AR-005 | Align to 112×112 via ArcFace 5-point similarity transform, fitted by **Umeyama least squares over all five points** (as InsightFace does) — never a robust fit, which would discard the landmarks AR-030 reads | SR-002 | High | **Done** — `umeyama_similarity()`; the RANSAC fit it replaces was RNG-driven and point-dropping. Galleries baked before the change want a rebuild |
 | AR-006 | 512-d L2-normalised embeddings, batched | SR-002 | High | Done |
 | AR-007 | Associate detections by IoU + embedding, with **frame-dependent** weighting | SR-002 | High | **Done** — `track_alpha` is the base for ordinary frames; drops to embedding-only on cut/boundary and for dormant tracks |
 | AR-008 | One track pool keyed on `last_seen`; no separate revival path | SR-002 | High | **Done** — one pool keyed on `last_seen`; park/revive branch deleted |
@@ -45,7 +45,7 @@ Status: `Done` · `In Progress` · `Planned` · `TBD` · `Withdrawn`
 | AR-015 | Two live tracks owned by one actor ⇒ treat as a detected cut, re-associate | SR-002 | Medium | **Done** — reverse index detects it on the causing update; counted |
 | AR-016 | All tracks closed at EOF — a film ends with faces on screen | SR-002 | High | **Done** — `flush()`, idempotent, closes at last sighting or final tick |
 | AR-017 | Every presence claim carries its belief and identification route | SR-002 | High | **Done** — `DeadTrack` carries belief and observation count |
-| AR-018 | Per-subject embedding store with banded admission (novel enough, safe enough) | SR-005 | Medium | Planned |
+| AR-018 | Per-subject embedding store with banded admission (novel enough, safe enough) | SR-005 | Medium | **Done** — banded admission in probability space; replaces `expand_novelty_sim`. Rejections counted |
 | AR-019 | Per-film gallery annex from owned tracks; acquires the non-frontal views TMDB lacks | SR-005 | Medium | In Progress |
 | AR-020 | Deferred re-identification of unknown tracks against the final expanded gallery | SR-005 | High | Planned |
 | AR-021 | Cluster unknown tracks into one entity per person, under temporal cannot-link constraints | SR-005 | Medium | Planned |
@@ -57,7 +57,7 @@ Status: `Done` · `In Progress` · `Planned` · `TBD` · `Withdrawn`
 | AR-027 | Throughput acceptable for **arbitrary** gallery size | SR-001 | High | Planned |
 | AR-028 | **Embedding input quality assessed and carried** — every face scored on size, sharpness and visibility before its embedding is used as identity evidence; the vector travels with the face and reaches the VR-001 dump | SR-002 | High | Planned |
 | AR-029 | Sharpness measure on the **aligned crop** (scale-normalised, so it cannot re-measure size) | SR-002 | Medium | Planned |
-| AR-030 | Visibility measure from the AR-001 5-point landmarks — extreme pose or occlusion **discounts the observation, never deletes the detection** | SR-002 | Medium | Planned |
+| AR-030 | Visibility measure from the AR-001 5-point landmarks — extreme pose or occlusion **discounts the observation, never deletes the detection** | SR-002 | Medium | **In Progress** — measure is the AR-005 alignment residual (`estimate_alignment()`), carried on `DetectedFace`; roll/scale invariance and monotonicity under foreshortening asserted. Nothing consumes it as a discount yet |
 
 ## Deployment (DP)
 
@@ -309,7 +309,7 @@ because it will be trusted.
 | AR-002 | T2 | Faces below 32 px (original res) are dropped | Exactly at threshold; with `dense_scale` 0.5 — the interaction that motivated the requirement |
 | AR-003 | T2 | No cap applied; a 40-face frame yields 40 | Crowd frame |
 | AR-004 | T1 | Saturated input blocks rather than drops or throws | Bounded queue at capacity; **byte-based** limit with large crops; SIGTERM mid-block |
-| AR-005 | T1 | Known landmarks → expected 112×112 warp | Landmarks near frame edge; degenerate/collinear points |
+| AR-005 | T1 | Known landmarks → expected 112×112 warp; the fit never mirrors | Landmarks near frame edge; degenerate/collinear points; a mirrored set — SVD returns a reflection unless the determinant guard rejects it |
 | AR-006 | T3 | Embeddings are unit-norm | Batch smaller than, equal to, larger than `embed_batch_size` |
 | AR-007 | T2 | Association picks the right track | Two faces crossing paths; one leaving frame as another enters |
 | AR-008 | T2 | One pool; dormant tracks match on embedding, not IoU | Dormant track whose old bbox overlaps a *different* new face — must not match on position |
@@ -333,7 +333,7 @@ because it will be trusted.
 | AR-027 | **T4** | Throughput at 10²…10⁵ actors | Scheduled, not on-demand |
 | AR-028 | **T2** | No embedding reaches the matcher unscored; the vector survives into the dump | Face failing exactly one axis; all three healthy; a face whose landmarks are degenerate — scored, not silently vanished |
 | AR-029 | T1 | Synthetic blur ladder → monotonically falling sharpness | Gaussian vs motion blur; **small sharp face vs large soft one** — size must not leak into this axis |
-| AR-030 | T1 | Landmark geometry → expected yaw proxy on known poses | Full profile with one eye occluded; **in-plane roll must not read as yaw**; near-degenerate landmarks |
+| AR-030 | T1 | Alignment residual rises monotonically with foreshortening | **In-plane roll, scale and translation must leave it at zero** — the property that makes it a pose measure rather than a pose-and-everything-else measure; face size must not shift it; degenerate landmarks report not-ok rather than a number |
 | VR-012 | **T4** | Knee located per axis on held-out films | Report each candidate threshold's cost in **lost true presence**, not only its gain in precision — a gate that improves misID by discarding half the cast has not helped |
 | IR-001/002 | T1 | Serialised output matches golden file | Zero-length window; actor with many windows |
 | IR-003 | T1 | Output written after deferred pass | Not at EOF |